KOAM TV 7 Joplin and PittsburgTuesday morning May 3rd

Tuesday morning May 3rd

Good morning everyone.  Well it is definitely a cold start around the area with some patchy frost.  Click on the link below to see the current temperatures.

 http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/surface/displaySfc.php?region=ict&endDate=20110503&endTime=-1&duration=0

 We will see partly sunny skies today and temperatures will start to warm up.  Our average high is about 75 degrees and we won't get close to it, but still better than today.  I expect highs to be into the low to mid 60s.  We are moving right along in our 50 day pattern.  Let me throw up some maps to show you where we are at right now.  Here is the upper level map for today.

You can see the upper level wave on top of us that caused the showers on Sunday and Monday.  Here is a look back at the past two cycles that are each 50 days apart.

You can see the same upper level waves pushing through during the same part of the cycle.  So what is to come over here over the next week or so?  Well we will see a warming trend through the week.  Let me go ahead and post the 7-day forecast.

We will have slight chances for a few thunderstorms on Thursday.  Most of the moisture will be north of us and right now this doesn't look like a very big deal, but I will keep my eyes on it.  Another wave will give us some possibly strong thunderstorms on Friday night and Saturday morning.  Right now I think Saturday afternoon should be fine as the storms press east.  We will have to watch the timing of this wave. 

Temperatures continue to warm up on Sunday and Monday.  We will see slight chances for thunderstorms on Sunday and Monday.  However, the better chances will hold off until Tuesday.  This is when a strong upper level system will rotate across the central plains and give us a severe threat.

I will keep you updated on this and I have updated the long range forecast below.

Doug Heady

 May (10th-14th):

Good chances for thunderstorm on Tuesday.  We will have to see exactly where these storms will be placed, but we have the chances.  Temperatures will be a little cooler for Wednesday and Thursday.  Warming up a bit for Friday and Saturday with additional chances for thunderstorms and a severe threat.

May (15th-21st):

Thunderstorms chances still on Sunday with mild temperatures.  Another severe threat with warm temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday.  Then cooler for the rest of the week.  We will see a warming trend once the weekend arrives.

May (22nd-28th):

Good chances for thunderstorms and a severe threat with warm temperatures on Sunday and Monday.  Then cooler for the middle of the week.  Warming up towards the weekend with a slight chances for storms around Friday and Saturday.

May (29th-June 4th):

A warm Memorial weekend with thunderstorms chances.  I also think we will see a severe threat with the highest threat being Sunday and Monday.  Temperatures cooler for mid week, but we should be dry.  Warm by the end of the week with thunderstorms and a severe threat for Thursday and Friday. 

June (5th-11th):

A mild start to the week with thunderstorm chances on Monday and Tuesday.  Temperatures stay nice all week long with additional thunderstorm chances on Friday and Saturday.