KOAM TV 7 Joplin and PittsburgTuesday AM May 10th

Tuesday AM May 10th

Good Tuesday.  I hope your day is going great so far.  It has been a very busy past few days for me, but I have been very productive which is good news.  My son Christian turned two yesterday.  That absolutely just blows my mind.  I can't believe how fast time fly's. 

We set a record high yesterday with highs right around 90 degrees.  I expect to be in the upper 80s to near 90 again for us today.  Also we will continue to see the strong southerly winds with gusts over 30 mph.  Here is a look at your current conditions

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/surface/displaySfc.php?region=ict&endDate=20110510&endTime=-1&duration=0

Our next storm system has been taking its time moving in.  Here is a look at this strong upper level low.

Remember my theories are that we are in a 50 day pattern.  Two cycles ago, so about 100 days from when this system pushes through was the big February 1st blizzard.  However, this time around it causes very warm and windy conditions.  Also chances for scattered thunderstorms.  So here is what I am expecting.  On Wednesday the cold front will be draped across central KS with a dry line extending south into central OK.  Showers and thunderstorms will get going along the dryline on Wednesday afternoon.  These will be west of the area.  I guess I should back up a bit.  There is a chances we could see a few scattered thunderstorms late tonight and Wednesday morning.  Then we will break out into partly sunny skies on Wednesday afternoon.  Now the thunderstorms that will develop west of us on Wednesday afternoon should go severe quickly with a threat for large hail and tornadoes.  However, I do expect these storms to weaken some when they move in.  Also I want to mention when they make it to the viewing area they will be scattered.  This means not everyone will see showers and thunderstorms. So I think the main threat will be gusty winds and large hail by the time they make it into the area.

We will see the scattered thunderstorms into Thursday morning.  The actual cold front won't push through until early afternoon on Thursday.  This will give us slight chances for thunderstorms again early on Thursday.  Also I expect temperatures to drop back off where they should be for this time of the year late in the week.

I will keep you updated on our severe threat and update the blog later today.  Also I will update the long range forecast through at least half of June later today as well.

Doug Heady 

May (15th-21st):

Thunderstorms chances still on Sunday with mild temperatures.  Another severe threat with warm temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday.  Then cooler for the rest of the week.  We will see a warming trend once the weekend arrives.

May (22nd-28th):

Good chances for thunderstorms and a severe threat with warm temperatures on Sunday and Monday.  Then cooler for the middle of the week.  Warming up towards the weekend with a slight chances for storms around Friday and Saturday.

May (29th-June 4th):

A warm Memorial weekend with thunderstorms chances.  I also think we will see a severe threat with the highest threat being Sunday and Monday.  Temperatures cooler for mid week, but we should be dry.  Warm by the end of the week with thunderstorms and a severe threat for Thursday and Friday. 

June (5th-11th):

A mild start to the week with thunderstorm chances on Monday and Tuesday.  Temperatures stay nice all week long with additional thunderstorm chances on Friday and Saturday.