KOAM TV 7 Joplin and PittsburgMonday evening May 30th

Monday evening May 30th

Good Monday evening everyone.  I hope everyone has had a great holiday weekend.  I was a little sick on Friday with the stomach flu, but I feel much better now.  I got a chance over the weekend to get away and regroup a bit after all of the aftermath from the destructive tornado.  I have a lot of deep feelings about what happened last Sunday and I hope that each and every person that has been effected directly and indirectly to this event are getting better each and everyday.  I want to encourage the people that have and want to help out, to continue to help out over the weeks and months to come.  I have several weeks of vacation that I usually take in the summer and early fall months.  I never take this during the winter and spring so that I am always around for interesting weather.  I will be taking a lot of my vacation time helping the residents around the area. 

We continue to push right along in our 50 day pattern.  Let me show you where we are at.  Here is a look at today's upper level map.

You can see the upper level wave that is rotating into the northern plains.  This will give us chances for scattered thunderstorms later tonight.  Here is a look back at this part of the cycle at about 50, 100 & 150 days ago.  So you can see this exact system moving through.

You can see how we are right on track with my theories and this pattern.  But we are working into the summer months.  You can see back in late December how strong and deep this system was.  The closer we work towards summer the system becomes weaker and farther north.  We are still in severe weather season over the next few weeks.  I still think we have a few systems that will give us severe thunderstorms.  However, we are about 3/4 of the way through the season.  The next 3 weeks through will still be fairly active. 

We already have scattered thunderstorms that are popping up across the central plains.  Here is the latest interactive radar.

http://www.koamtv.com/category/191239/sky-watch-interactive-radar

As our cold front pushes into the area late tonight and tomorrow morning, we will see the scattered thunderstorms.  Now I think our severe threat is low, but we can't rule out a few strong to severe storms.  The front will hang out on top of us on Tuesday, Tuesday night and Wednesday.  This will provide at least some scattered thunderstorms through this time.  Again the severe threat will stay on the low side.  By late  Wednesday the front will start to lift back to the north.  This will allow us to stay dry and hot for the Thursday and Friday. 

Over the weekend a few waves will try to affect us.  So I will put in slight chances for thunderstorms for Saturday and Sunday. 

Here is a look at your latest 7-day forecast.

Doug

 June (5th-11th):

A warm start to the week with a few waves that will affect us during the week.  This is going to give us at least slight chances for thunderstorms through Thursday.  Also I expect temperatures to be warm to hot through the period.  Additional thunderstorm chances with our next wave moving in over the weekend of the 11th.   

Severe threat:  Low (Sunday-Thursday, Saturday)

June (12th-18th):

Thunderstorm chances of the weekend of the 12th.  Then it looks nice until our next chances for storms on Wednesday and Thursday.  A little cooler behind this system for the rest of the week. 

Severe threat:  Low(Sunday), Moderate (Wednesday & Thursday) 

June (19th-25th):

Thunderstorms chances with several wave through the first half of the week.  Temperatures will be mild through the period.  I think our best chances will be on Sunday-Tuesday.  Then additional chances around Friday with warm temps into the weekend.

Severe threat:  Low (Sunday-Tuesday, Friday)

June (26th-July 2nd):

Warm to hot temperatures at the beginning of the week with our next wave that will affect us by the middle of the week.  This will give us chances for scattered thunderstorms.  I think temperatures will stay warm pressing into the holiday weekend.

Severe threat:  Low(Wednesday and Thursday)