KOAM TV 7 Joplin and PittsburgSunday Evening Update June 12th

Sunday Evening Update June 12th

Good Sunday Everyone,

     Well so far we have made it through the hot part of the day without any storms developing and that is better news. I am never disappointed when only a couple of storms are possible and they do not develop.  At least the first round has managed NOT to pop up this evening. The next round of concern will be in the early morning hours around 2 to 3 AM a cluster will develop along to our north generally around the Kansas City area and move southeast. Some of these storms will likely brush some counties in our northeastern viewing area. Pleasanton over to Nevada down to Springfield will be the most likely areas to wake up to some thunder and lightning in the morning.  

The main risk in these storms will once again be hail, gusty winds, and lightning.

Here is our current SPC Risk for severe weather today, like yesterday, we will be in the slight range again. As we talked about yesterday, that usually means at least a couple of strong to severe storms in or near the viewing area.

 Here is the current regional radar in motion:

(Brian Davis) 

Doug Heady Continues Here:

The warm front will lift through the area today.  This will give us scattered storms this morning, then more popping up this afternoon.  We will have a slight severe threat continuing with the main threat being wind and hail.

The front will mainly push north of us on Monday as we heat back up and most of the storms stay north of the region.  However, our next wave will affect us by mid week with additional thunderstorm chances.  I am also a watching closely the period from the 19th-21st, as I think we will have a severe weather potential.

We continue to push right along in our 50 day pattern this year.  Remember this is based on my theories that a recurring pattern occurs each and every year.  I have continued my research and again this year I have learned a ton.  We only have about 2 months until the new pattern begins to take shape.  We are in summer mode now.  This means the recurring pattern continues, but it shifts north due to the Jet Stream shifting north during the summer.  I will show you exactly where we are at in the pattern later today on my next blog.

Here is a look at your latest 7-day forecast.

Doug

June (19th-25th):

We will see the storm system over the weekend of the 19th and lasting till about Tuesday.  This will give us pretty good chances for thunderstorms and a severe threat.  Temperatures will be warm with the system but cool down behind it for the middle of the week.  In fact I bet we only have mild temperatures at that time.  Temperatures will warm up a bit later in the week with thunderstorm chances again on Thursday and Friday.

Severe threat:  Moderate (Sunday-Tuesday), Low(Thursday and Friday) 

June (26th-July 2nd):

Temperatures should really warm up at the beginning of the week with hot temperatures.  We will see a storm system on Wednesday and Thursday with thunderstorm chances.  The warm temperatures stick around the whole with additional thunderstorm chances over the holiday weekend.

Severe threat:  Low(Wednesday and Thursday, Saturday)Warm temperatures over the holiday weekend with thunderstorm chances through the 4th.  Then just warm to hot temperatures through most of the week with slight chances for thunderstorms by the weekend of the 9th.

July (3rd-9th):

Severe threat:  Low(Sunday, Monday, Saturday)