KOAM TV 7 Joplin and PittsburgWednesday PM August 17th

Wednesday PM August 17th

Here is the latest blog update by Meteorologist Doug Heady just in case you missed from earlier. I wish Doug the best in this venture and hope he gets well from this soon.

(Brian Davis)

By Doug Heady:

Ok I know I have been back from vacation a whole two days.  However, I won't be in the office today.  I have a DR. appointment scheduled for my migraines.  If you haven't read a lot of my blogs, I have daily migraines.  I have had these since I was born.  I am trying out a new doctor to see if I can get a few things figured out.  But of course I am still going to update you on the weather.  Lets see what is going on right now.  Here is a look at the surface map for today.

You can see how we have a weak cold front which is shifting through the area.  The chances for showers and thunderstorms just aren't that great.  But we won't see temperatures as hot today as what we saw on Tuesday.  Highs will range from the upper 80s in our northern counties to lower 90s in our southern counties. 

On Thursday this front will start to lift back to the north and through the area.  So this could give us a few scattered thunderstorms tonight and during the day on Thursday.  Here is a look at tomorrow morning. 

On Friday the front will lift to the north of us.  This means the heat and the humidity will kick right back in.  I expect highs to warm into the upper 90s to near 100 degrees in a lot of locations.  This will stick around into the weekend.  Now over the weekend the next front will be sitting just to our north.  However, I think the rain chances will stay just north of us.  A cold front will start to push in our direction late Sunday and Monday.  This will bring back chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Down the road:

We will see this front slip through the area early next week.  This should drop our temperatures a decent amount for the middle of the week.  Another front will affect us late in the week with additional rain chances and keeping the temperatures cooler for this time of the year.  You can get the full long range forecast below.

Pattern Watch:

Remember that my theories are that a pattern develops at the beginning of the fall.  With in this pattern we have a recurring cycle.  Over the past year we have been in a 50 day recurring cycle.  This cycle has now come to an end and the new cycle is in place.  But the new cycle is still working in the old pattern.  The old pattern is starting a morphing phase into the next pattern that will take about another 6 weeks to complete.  My job over the next 6 weeks is find the length of the new cycle.  Then after that my job will be how will this cycle react in our new pattern.  That is another very difficult thing to figure out.  However, I go into each fall knowing a little bit more from my research the year before.  So I am very excited about what this new pattern will have in store for the 4-state area. 

Doug

Here is the local radar:

If you want a closer look, check out our interactive radar.  You can see any warnings that are issued.

http://www.koamtv.com/category/191239/sky-watch-interactive-radar

Here is your latest 7-day forecast.

 Next week:

This should be an interesting week.  I was talking about the cold front at the beginning of the week and what will it do.  Latest indications are that is will slide through.  If this occurs, we will have chances for showers on Monday and Tuesday and much cooler temperatures for the rest of the week.  I wouldn't mind this happening.  Rain chances will return by late in the week with another front pushing through.

Severe threat:  Slight(Monday & Tuesday, Thursday & Friday)

August 28th-September 3rd:

Mild to warm temperatures at the beginning of the week.  We need to watch and see what waves set up just east of us.  It is possible to have some tropical moisture and upper level waves set up across the east 1/3rd of the country.  If this occurs, we will see the nice temperatures sticking around for the beginning of the week.  Also we will see rain chances all week long as fronts stall near the area.  I do think temperatures will warm a bit though through the week.

Severe threat:  Slight(through the week)

September 4th-10th:

Temperatures will heat up right at the beginning of the week.  In fact this could be pretty warm stretch of weather for us.  We will see slight chances for rain early in the week.  Then again from Thursday through Saturday as another wave passes through.  I expect warm temperatures all week long.

Severe threat:  Slight(Monday, Tuesday, Thursday-Saturday)

 September 11th-17th:

Temperatures heating up again early in the week with dry conditions.  In fact most of the week should end up being dry.  Temperatures a little cooler towards the weekend.

Severe threat:  None