We have a few systems that we're keeping an eye on in the Tropical waters of the Atlantic and Pacific. Over in the Atlantic Basin, we're watching a broad area of rain and t-storms over the western Caribbean Sea. As long as this wave is in the Caribbean, it won't be in a suitable environment for development. As it moves into the Gulf of Mexico by the end of the week, environmental conditions could become a little more helpful for it to develop. Even with a 20% chance to develop over the next 5 days, that area will continue to be monitored.
Over in the Pacific, we're keeping an eye on two areas. First, there's a disorganized area of rain and clouds near southern Mexico with a broad low pressure area. With strong upper-level winds in play, no development is expected over the next 2 days. Beyond that, conditions could become a little more favorable for some tropical development by the end of the week. That area has a 20% chance to develop into a tropical system, so we'll continue to watch that. Northwest of that area, Hurricane Bud continues to be a healthy hurricane. The 10 AM Advisory still has Hurricane Bud as a Category 3 Hurricane (Major Hurricane status) with sustained wind speeds of 125 mph. The forecast is for Bud to maintain Hurricane status through Wednesday evening. Going into Thursday, it'll weaken to a Tropical Storm as it starts to impact the southern Baja Peninsula by early Friday morning. Beyond Friday morning, it'll weaken to a depression as it begins to work over western Mexico. We'll continue to keep an eye on Hurricane Bud.
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